Political Wire

Trump Picks Winners, Then Losers

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Two things are true at the same time.

Donald Trump can end a Republican political career with a simple Truth Social post.

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The AI Backlash Arrives

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An extraordinary finding from the latest Gallup poll: Americans don’t just dislike the idea of AI data centers in their communities — they overwhelmingly reject it.

Gallup finds 70% of Americans oppose building AI data centers in their local area, including 48% who are “strongly opposed.” Just 25% are in favor.

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Primaries in Five States Today

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Five states hold primaries today, with several races worth watching.

The marquee contest is in Kentucky’s 4th congressional district, where Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) is trying to survive a Trump-backed challenge from retired Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein.

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The Republican Collapse Has Begun

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Today’s New York Times/Siena College poll underscores the problem Donald Trump poses for Republicans heading into November.

His overall approval rating is just 37% — right in line with other recent surveys showing a president badly underwater.

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Weekly News Quiz

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This week brought another flood of headlines, twists and political whiplash.

The Weekly News Quiz is your chance to see how closely you were paying attention — and whether you’re caught up.

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How Democrats Can Reverse Trumpism

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Assuming Democrats can win back Congress and the White House by 2028, they will face an immediate question: How much of Donald Trump’s damage can actually be undone?

Democrats must begin planning a sweeping pro-democracy agenda.

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Nebraska Democrats Play It Smart

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Republicans may still have the upper hand in the redistricting wars, but Democrats got a hardball win in Nebraska last night.

Instead of wasting energy on a long-shot Democratic Senate bid, party leaders effectively cleared the lane for Dan Osborn, the independent who appears to have the best chance of giving Sen. Pete Ricketts (R-NE) a serious race in November.

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A Complete and Total Defeat

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Robert Kagan has written one of the most bracing assessments yet of the Iran War, arguing that the United States has already “suffered a total defeat.”

His argues the predicament facing Washington has no real precedent in American history and can “neither be repaired nor ignored.”

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Weekly News Quiz

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This week’s news was dominated by new evidence of Donald Trump’s grip on the GOP, the fallout from the Supreme Court’s voting rights ruling and a fast-moving redistricting scramble that could shape control of the midterm elections.

How well did you pay attention?

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A Closer Look Two Key House Races

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Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This issue features deep dives into two closely watched House races: Democrats’ bid to unseat Rep. Jen Kiggans (R-VA) and Republicans’ effort to defeat Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D-TX).

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The Map Wars Turn Against Democrats

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Two weeks ago, Democrats had reason to think the redistricting wars were finally breaking their way.

Virginia voters had approved a referendum that could allow Democrats to redraw the state’s congressional map — with the possibility of flipping as many as four House seats.

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Republicans May Regret This Ruling

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Republicans are understandably celebrating the Supreme Court’s decision giving states more freedom to redraw congressional maps in ways that erase Black-majority Democratic districts.

In the short run, it could be a major gift.

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Trump’s Grip Still Holds

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President Trump’s grip on the Republican Party was reaffirmed Tuesday night in Indiana.

The clearest evidence came in a string of Republican primaries targeting incumbent state senators who helped block Trump’s push last year for a new congressional map.

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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— Larry Sabato, Center for Politics, University of Virginia

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— Arianna Huffington, founder of The Huffington Post

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— Glenn Reynolds, founder of Instapundit

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