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Lamb Maintains Big Lead In Pennsylvania’s 17th

October 10, 2018 at 11:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in Pennsylvania’s newly drawn 17th congressional district finds Rep. Conor Lamb (D) with a double-digit advantage over Keith Rothfus (R), 54% to 42%.

“The race stands at 55% for Lamb and 41% for Rothfus using a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic precincts. A model projecting lower overall turnout shows Lamb with a 54% to 42% edge over Rothfus. These results are basically unchanged from Monmouth’s July poll.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: PA-17

Democratic Enthusiasm Tilts Some GOP Districts

September 10, 2018 at 1:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in eight competitive congressional districts — CA-48, PA-1, PA-17, NJ-3, NJ-11, OH-12, VA-10 and WV-3 — finds support is evenly divided between the Democratic and the Republican candidates for Congress, 43% to 42%.

The Democratic advantage increases slightly among likely voters, 47% to 43%.

Key takeaway: Republicans routinely won these eight districts by double digit margins in recent election cycles.

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “These findings do not predict that Democrats are going to sweep these eight House contests. But they do indicate that the Republican candidate in each of these districts is facing an unprecedented challenge to hold that seat.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: CA-48, NJ-11, NJ-3, OH-12, PA-1, PA-17, VA-10, WV-3

New Pennsylvania District Tilts Democratic

July 24, 2018 at 6:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Cook Political Report moves Pennsylvania’s 17th congressional district from Toss Up to Leans Democrat just after a new poll shows Rep. Conor Lamb (D-PA) leading Rep. Keith Rothfus (R-PA) by double-digits in the newly-drawn district.

“The combination of dramatically better district lines for Democrats, the candidate resume contrast and an anti-Trump national mood give Lamb the clear advantage. Rothfus becomes only the second GOP incumbent to join the Lean Democratic column.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: PA-17

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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