A new Monmouth poll in Pennsylvania’s newly drawn 17th congressional district finds Rep. Conor Lamb (D) with a double-digit advantage over Keith Rothfus (R), 54% to 42%.
“The race stands at 55% for Lamb and 41% for Rothfus using a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic precincts. A model projecting lower overall turnout shows Lamb with a 54% to 42% edge over Rothfus. These results are basically unchanged from Monmouth’s July poll.”
A new Monmouth poll in eight competitive congressional districts — CA-48, PA-1, PA-17, NJ-3, NJ-11, OH-12, VA-10 and WV-3 — finds support is evenly divided between the Democratic and the Republican candidates for Congress, 43% to 42%.
The Democratic advantage increases slightly among likely voters, 47% to 43%.
Key takeaway: Republicans routinely won these eight districts by double digit margins in recent election cycles.
Said pollster Patrick Murray: “These findings do not predict that Democrats are going to sweep these eight House contests. But they do indicate that the Republican candidate in each of these districts is facing an unprecedented challenge to hold that seat.”
The Cook Political Report moves Pennsylvania’s 17th congressional district from Toss Up to Leans Democrat just after a new poll shows Rep. Conor Lamb (D-PA) leading Rep. Keith Rothfus (R-PA) by double-digits in the newly-drawn district.
“The combination of dramatically better district lines for Democrats, the candidate resume contrast and an anti-Trump national mood give Lamb the clear advantage. Rothfus becomes only the second GOP incumbent to join the Lean Democratic column.”
Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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