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Comstock Trails By 12% In Virginia

October 9, 2018 at 8:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post-Schar School Poll finds President Trump’s unpopularity fuels a clear lead for Jennifer Wexton (D) over Rep. Barbara Comstock (R), 55% to 43%, “putting a prized northern Virginia district within reach for Democrats for the first time in almost four decades.”

Key finding: “The survey finds voters say the president is the most important factor influencing likely voters’ choice for Congress, more so even than the strong economy which would boost the party in power in a typical election year.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: VA-10

Comstock Still Trails In Virginia

October 2, 2018 at 8:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in Virginia’s 10th congressional district finds Jennifer Wexton (D) continues to lead Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-VA), 50% to 44%.

“The GOP incumbent’s favorable ratings have improved since the summer, but the challenger holds the advantage on key issues and is bolstered by the fact that Pres. Donald Trump remains unpopular in the district. The poll also finds that controversy surrounding the current Supreme Court nomination is not having an appreciable impact on this House contest.”

“Wexton extends her advantage to 52% to 43% using a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic precincts similar to the pattern seen in last year’s gubernatorial contest. A low turnout model shows Wexton with a smaller 50% to 46% edge.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: VA-10

Democratic Enthusiasm Tilts Some GOP Districts

September 10, 2018 at 1:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in eight competitive congressional districts — CA-48, PA-1, PA-17, NJ-3, NJ-11, OH-12, VA-10 and WV-3 — finds support is evenly divided between the Democratic and the Republican candidates for Congress, 43% to 42%.

The Democratic advantage increases slightly among likely voters, 47% to 43%.

Key takeaway: Republicans routinely won these eight districts by double digit margins in recent election cycles.

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “These findings do not predict that Democrats are going to sweep these eight House contests. But they do indicate that the Republican candidate in each of these districts is facing an unprecedented challenge to hold that seat.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: CA-48, NJ-11, NJ-3, OH-12, PA-1, PA-17, VA-10, WV-3

GOP Incumbent Trails In Key Virginia District

June 26, 2018 at 12:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in Virginia’s 10th congressional district finds Jennifer Wexton (D) with a big lead over incumbent Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-VA), 49% to 39%, among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote.

“The race does not look significantly different using two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Wexton a 50% to 41% lead, while a model that includes a turnout surge in areas where Pres. Donald Trump is unpopular gives Wexton a 51% to 40% lead.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: VA-10

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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