A new NPR/PBS/Marist Poll shows 44% of Democratic voters want Joe Biden replaced on the 2024 Democratic presidential ticket, while 36% want him to run for re-election and 20% are unsure.
Jonathan Chait: “Ron DeSantis is the patron saint of a segment of the conservative Establishment that has made its peace with Donald Trump largely by pretending he does not exist. DeSantis has followed their strategy of ignoring Trump’s lies and authoritarianism while cultivating his followers with more refined attacks on their shared enemies.”
“Ironically, however, DeSantis has moved far enough to the extreme that they have now been forced into the position of applying the same method to DeSantis that they used for Trump. They have constructed an imaginary version of DeSantis, lavishing praise upon the ‘Ron DeSantis’ they created who shares all the positive qualities of the real-life politician of the same name, with none of his glaring flaws.”
Washington Post: “His primary political action committee, Save America, has been spending more than $100,000 a week this month on Facebook ads, according to the company, many of which seek donations with deceptive claims about corruption in the last election and public support for the belief that ‘Trump is the true president.’”
“Facebook allows the ads because Trump is not posting them personally through his suspended account and the ads do not speak in Trump’s ‘voice,’ according to a company spokeswoman. The money raised can be used to finance his current political operation — his staff, his rallies, his travel — until he announces another campaign.”
“The gambit is one of several ways Trump is blowing up the traditional path for a president after leaving office, reaping millions for his political efforts in the process. Rather than shrink from the scene to focus on the blueprints of a presidential library or philanthropy, he is attempting to build one of the largest operations in American politics by continuing many of the tactics that dominated his two presidential campaigns.”
“Vice President Kamala Harris’ former staffers and fundraisers anticipate a potentially messy primary if she goes up against fellow Cabinet member Pete Buttigieg in a race for the White House,” Insider reports.
“A free-for-all Democratic presidential primary could come as early as 2024 if President Joe Biden decides he won’t run for reelection, though he has said that he plans to. Some Democratic donors and strategists are already privately discussing what the field could look like in 2024 if Biden opts out.”
Sen. Roy Blunt (R) told NBC News that former President Trump “can be a candidate if he wants to be” in 2024.
But he added: “The best thing that President Trump could do to help us win majorities in 2022 is talk about the future… I think better off to talk about the future than to focus on the past.”
“Former President Trump is telling most anyone who’ll listen he will run again in 2024 — and poll after poll shows the vast majority of Republicans would gladly cheer him on and vote for him,” Axios reports.
“Almost every top Republican we talk to said it would take a severe illness, death — or criminal charges sticking — to stop Trump from walking away with the race before it even begins.”
Vanity Fair: “Mike and Karen Pence are living their best lives. No, really. Almost a year after Donald Trump nearly got them murdered at the Capitol by a band of rioters trying to overturn the election, the former second couple is living in a nearly $2 million mansion in suburban Indianapolis. Mike Pence has a megawatt book deal in the bag with Simon & Schuster. And the two are traveling widely, with Mike Pence getting paid upwards of $100,000 a speech.”
“In perhaps one of the most unlikely trollings of the former president, Mike Pence also remains a top-tier candidate for the Republican nomination in 2024.”
“Influential Democratic donors who backed Pete Buttigieg in 2020 are privately chattering about prodding him to run for the White House in 2024 if President Joe Biden doesn’t seek reelection,” Insider reports.
“More than two dozen Democratic donors who want to eventually see the 39-year-old transportation secretary in the White House have been attending secret and informal dinners over the summer and into late September in traditional Democratic money-raising hubs including Washington, Wall Street, and Silicon Valley.”
“They’re driven in part by a lack of confidence in Vice President Kamala Harris’ performance so far, and some don’t think Buttigieg should wait in line behind Harris if Biden opts against running for a second term. Other dinner attendees think Buttigieg is better off waiting until 2028 or even later.”
California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) insists he’s “never” contemplated running for president, Politico reports.
Said Newsom: “I’ve got enough problems in my life… who needs the damn stress.”
A new Quinnipiac poll finds a majority of Americans say they do not want to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024, 58% to 35%.
However, a big majority of Republicans do want to see Trump run for president in 2024, 78% to 16%.
Also interesting: 51% of Americans say Trump has had a mainly negative impact on American politics, while 41% say he has had a mainly positive impact.
Businessman Mark Cuban said he is “never” announcing a presidential bid, the Washington Examiner reports.
A new Data for Progress poll in Arizona finds 70% of prospective 2024 Democratic primary voters have a negative opinion of Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ), with just 24% expressing a positive view of the first-term senator.
For contrast, 85% of Democratic primary voters have a favorable opinion of Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), who is also in his first term.
A new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds Donald Trump with a commanding lead for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
Trump leads a hypothetical field with 47%, followed by Ron DeSantis at 12% and Mike Pence at 12% — the only candidates other than Trump to hit double-digit support.
Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) “took in nearly $8.3 million during the third fundraising quarter, a major sum that highlights the massive finance network Scott is building ahead of a prospective 2024 presidential bid,” Politico reports.
“Scott has emerged as a fundraising powerhouse over the past year, winning over small- and large-dollar GOP donors alike. The senator, who is a heavy favorite to win reelection in 2022, has seen his profile rise since delivering the Republican Party’s response to President Joe Biden’s joint address to Congress in April. Scott has raised nearly $20 million over the course of the year and got support from over 82,000 donors during the third quarter.”
David Graham: “Trump winning in 2016 was a serious wound to the American experiment. His clinging to power in 2020 poured salt in that wound. Trump losing in 2024 and trying to steal the election would be even more catastrophic. But a straightforward victory—a very real possibility—could be a mortal injury.”
“Nine months after the attack on the US Capitol, Republicans in Congress are defending Donald Trump’s role on January 6 in some of their strongest terms yet — and signaling he’d have widespread backing from the party if he ran for president again in 2024,” CNN reports.
“Republicans from across the conference — including some who are vulnerable in next year’s midterms or have long been seen as part of the establishment wing of the party — are expressing little to no reservations about the prospect of Trump topping the ticket again, even as he continues to spread the same election lies that led a mob to storm their place of work. Some GOP members are cheering on a Trump comeback, saying he remains a popular figure and powerful force in the party. And there’s widespread agreement among Republicans that Trump would be the automatic frontrunner — and freeze the primary field — if he chooses to jump in.”
“Senate Republicans, with a few exceptions, are hoping that former President Trump does not announce his intention to run again for president,” The Hill reports.
“These GOP senators definitely don’t want to see Trump announce a bid before the 2022 midterm elections, fearing that could sink their hopes of winning back the Senate.”
Bill Maher warned (again) of a “slow moving coup” by Donald Trump and his allies. It’s based on three predictions: “Trump will run in 2024; he will get the Republican nomination; and whatever happens on election night, the next day he will announce that he won.”
Mehdi Hasan: “I wish more actual journalists would say what a late-night comedian’s saying.”