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November 19, 2017

18 posts · Sunday

← November 18, 2017November 20, 2017 →

Tax Reform Without the Reform

November 19, 2017 at 10:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “The tax break for private planes is the sort of provision that is usually held up as a case for what tax reform is needed to eliminate. In this case, it is being created by tax reform. That is one clue that the ‘tax reform’ plan being drawn up in Congress is nothing of the sort.”

“The goal of a tax-reform plan, as the term has been historically understood, has been to minimize political interference in the tax code. The tax code might charge a rich person a higher rate than a poor person, but it doesn’t want to charge a butcher who earns $50,000 more than a baker who earns $50,000 just because the baker did a better job lobbying Congress.”

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes

Mueller Seeks Documents from Justice Department

November 19, 2017 at 10:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Special counsel Robert Mueller’s team investigating whether President Trump sought to obstruct a federal inquiry into connections between his presidential campaign and Russian operatives has now directed the Justice Department to turn over a broad array of documents, ABC News reports.

“In particular, Mueller’s investigators are keen to obtain emails related to the firing of FBI Director James Comey and the earlier decision of Attorney General Jeff Sessions to recuse himself from the entire matter, according to a source who has not seen the specific request but was told about it.“

Filed Under: White House

Next Wave of Sexual Harassment Charges Anticipated

November 19, 2017 at 7:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Swan: “Members of Congress with histories of mistreating women should be extremely nervous. Major outlets, including CNN, are dedicating substantial newsroom resources to investigating sexual harassment allegations against numerous lawmakers. A Republican source told me he’s gotten calls from well-known D.C. reporters who are gathering stories about sleazy members.”

Filed Under: House of Representatives, Senate

White House Aides Divided Over Risks of Russia Probe

November 19, 2017 at 7:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Six months into a special counsel’s investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election, White House aides and others in President Trump’s close orbit are increasingly divided in their assessments of the expanding probe and how worried administration officials and campaign aides should be about their potential legal peril, according to numerous people familiar with the debate,” the Washington Post reports.

“Some in the West Wing avoid the mere mention of Russia or the investigation whenever possible. Others take solace in the reassurances of White House lawyer Ty Cobb that special counsel Robert S. Mueller III will be wrapping up the probe soon and the president and those close to him will be exonerated. And a few engage in grim gallows humor, privately joking about wiretaps.”

Filed Under: White House

Trump’s Biggest Impact Will Be the Courts

November 19, 2017 at 6:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Swan: “If Mitch McConnell’s schedule goes to plan, the week after Thanksgiving the Senate Majority Leader will confirm his ninth federal judge. That would beat President Reagan’s eight in his first year — the most in recent history. And it triples the three federal judges President Obama appointed in his first year in office.”

“The federal courts affect almost every area of policy: gun rights, presidential executive orders like Trump’s travel ban, social policy issues like abortion and freedom of religion, and tensions between regulation, litigation and private enterprise. McConnell’s judges — who passed through a well-funded and organized conservative pipeline — will shape the U.S. over many decades in ways we can’t yet imagine.”

“Smart Democrats are deeply concerned about this trend, and understand that these lifetime judicial appointments will have a much greater impact on the future direction of this country than any short-term spending deal or policy.”

Filed Under: Judiciary

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 19, 2017 at 2:08 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Honestly, between tweeting and golfing, how does he get anything done? I don’t understand it. Maybe that’s the whole point.”

— Hillary Clinton, quoted by Politico.

Filed Under: White House

Publicist Who Arranged Trump Tower Meeting Denies Plot

November 19, 2017 at 1:59 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rob Goldstone, the publicist who helped arrange the Trump Tower meeting with a Russian lawyer, tells the Times of London that Jared Kushner was “furious” that the focus of the meeting turned to the Magnitsky Act instead of dirt on Hillary Clinton.

Goldstone also denies being part of some Russian plot: “When people said that, I thought it was the most ridiculous thing I’ve ever heard. That doesn’t mean that maybe there wasn’t any Russian interference or Trump campaign collusion in other ways. I don’t know. But I’m sure I wasn’t part of it.”

He notes that Paul Manafort seemed to be paying little attention during the meeting.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Rob Goldstone

A Great Migration Is Set to Transform Florida

November 19, 2017 at 1:48 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “More than 168,000 people have flown or sailed out of Puerto Rico to Florida since the hurricane, landing at airports in Orlando, Miami and Tampa, and the port in Fort Lauderdale. Nearly half are arriving in Orlando, where they are tapping their networks of family and friends. An additional 100,000 are booked on flights to Orlando through Dec. 31…  Large numbers are also settling in the Tampa, Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach areas.”

“With so many arriving so abruptly, the migration is expected to transform Orlando, a city that has already become a stronghold of Puerto Ricans, many of them fleeing the island’s economic crisis in recent years. The Puerto Rican population of Florida has exploded from 479,000 in 2000 to well over one million today, according to the Pew Research Center. The number of Puerto Ricans in Orlando was 210,000 in 2014… and since then the count has risen rapidly as more arrived during the economic crisis.”

“The impact of this latest wave is likely to stretch from schools and housing to the work force and even politics. Puerto Ricans, who are American citizens and tilt Democratic, could sway the electoral results of one of the country’s most pivotal swing states.”

Filed Under: Trends Tagged With: Florida, Puerto Rico

What Alabama Is Reading

November 19, 2017 at 11:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN notes the same editorial appears in The Birmingham News, Mobile Press-Register and The Huntsville Times.

Filed Under: 2017 Campaign Tagged With: AL-Sen

Quote of the Day

November 19, 2017 at 9:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Not everybody will lose a presidential election, but everybody will suffer loss.”

— Hillary Clinton, quoted by the Arkansas Democrat Gazette.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Hillary Clinton

The GOP Tax Bill Is an Economic Policy Disaster

November 19, 2017 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stan Collender: “If it’s enacted, the GOP tax cut now working its way through Congress will be the start of a decades-long economic policy disaster unlike any other that has occurred in American history.”

“There’s no economic justification whatsoever for a tax cut at this time. U.S. GDP is growing, unemployment is close to 4 percent (below what is commonly considered ‘full employment’), corporate profits are at record levels and stock markets are soaring. It makes no sense to add any federal government-induced stimulus to all this private sector-caused economic activity, let alone a tax cut as big as this one.”

“This is actually the ideal time for Washington to be doing the opposite.”

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Economy

Better Than Netflix

November 19, 2017 at 8:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Reading this email was a great way to start the day:

I just wanted to say I have been an avid follower of this blog since 2008 and will be upgrading to prime content.  I pay $15 a month for Netflix and hardly even use it, but $5 per month for a service I use multiple times per day?  Yes. Reading your content daily for almost a decade — and with countless other digital publications having come and gone in the meantime — Political Wire remains one of the very best sources for the most intriguing political stories of the day.

Join for just $5 a month or $50 a year. You’ll help support the site and get many great extras.

With the holidays coming up, gift subscriptions are also available.

Filed Under: Administrative

‘What the Hell Is Going On?’

November 19, 2017 at 8:22 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In a speech this weekend, Joe Biden touched on stories and anecdotes from his memoir, Promise Me, Dad: A Year of Hope, Hardship, and Purpose, released this past week, the Miami Herald reports.

“But after he was asked by writer George Saunders to explain ‘what the hell is going on?’ — he pivoted to discuss President Trump, the middle class and what he sees as a source of divisiveness in the country.”

Said Biden: “I think it’s one of the most dangerous times in modern history.”

Filed Under: White House

Ohio Anti-Gay Lawmaker Led Secret Gay Life

November 19, 2017 at 8:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In public, Wesley Goodman (R) was an up-and-coming conservative who championed pro-family and anti-LGBT causes and aspired to someday run for Congress,” the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.

“In private, he exchanged salacious texts and emails with gay men he met on Capitol Hill, and sent sexually suggestive messages to young men he met through conservative circles who were too intimidated to publicly complain.”

“Goodman’s double life ended this week when he resigned from the Ohio legislature after House Speaker Cliff Rosenberger was alerted to Goodman’s involvement in ‘inappropriate behavior’ with a man in his state office in Columbus.”

Filed Under: State House Tagged With: Wesley Goodman

Alabama Pastor Says There’s a ‘War on Men’

November 19, 2017 at 8:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

An Alabama pastor who supports Senate candidate Roy Moore (R) told the Birmingham News that allegations of sexual harassment against Moore are part of a “war on men.”

Said pastor Franklin Raddish: “More women are sexual predators than men. Women are chasing young boys up and down the road, but we don’t hear about that because it’s not PC.”

Washington Post: In defending Roy Moore, Alabama Republicans reflect state’s tradition of defiance.

Filed Under: 2017 Campaign Tagged With: AL-Sen

Roy Moore Already Impacting 2018 Midterm Races

November 19, 2017 at 8:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The Moore situation presents a complicated choice for Republican candidates facing tough 2018 primaries: Side with Moore and risk suburban swing voters will think you’re defending a pedophile; call for him to drop out and risk hardcore conservative voters believing you’re buying into a liberal witch hunt. And while Democratic strategists say they don’t expect Moore himself to be a central plank of any candidate’s 2018 campaign six months from now, they are working to ensure the overall Republican brand is associated with Moore more broadly as a way of tarnishing it early in the cycle.”

“While national Democrats want to avoid the appearance of diving into the race in deep-red Alabama, the party has used the Moore accusations to attack candidates from Ohio Senate candidate Josh Mandel, to Arizona Rep. Martha McSally, to South Carolina gubernatorial candidate Catherine Templeton. All three were criticized for refusing to take sides on whether Moore should drop out of the race.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: Roy Moore

Russia’s Meddling Is Another U.S. Intelligence Failure

November 19, 2017 at 8:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Yorker: “Unlike 9/11, the Russian campaign did not occur without warning on a quiet fall day. Rather, it unfolded over at least six months on Americans’ social-media accounts—hardly the stuff of spy novels. Kremlin leaders had signaled their plans years in advance. The Russian playbook wasn’t a secret, either. It had been well documented by European governments, researchers, and journalists after the Kremlin’s information operations to destabilize Estonia, in 2007; Georgia, in 2008; Ukraine, in 2014; and Britain, in the leadup to the 2016 Brexit vote.”

“Facing one of the clearest domestic threats to the U.S. in a decade, neither the F.B.I., which has the responsibility for conducting counterintelligence inside the United States, nor the O.D.N.I. warned Americans that platoons of Russian-backed automated “bots” and human trolls were working online to amplify racial divisions and anti-government conspiracy theories.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

Germany Supplants U.S. In Global Reputation Rankings

November 19, 2017 at 7:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“America’s brand has taken a major hit in the age of Trump,” CNN reports.

“At least that’s according to a survey that ranks the world’s best nation brands. The United States lands with an overall No. 6 ranking in the Anholt-GfK Nation Brands Index, which measures 50 nations in multiple categories, including governance, exports, culture, people, tourism and immigration/investment. The United States was the overall No. 1 in 2016, but Germany took the top spot this year.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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