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November 12, 2018

45 posts · Monday

← November 11, 2018November 13, 2018 →

Inside the GOP Effort to Discredit a Recount

November 12, 2018 at 11:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The concerted effort by Republicans in Washington and Florida to discredit the state’s recount as illegitimate and potentially rife with fraud reflects a cold political calculation: Treat the recount as the next phase of a campaign to secure the party’s majority and agenda in the Senate,” the New York Times reports.

“That imperative — described by Republican lawyers, strategists and advisers involved in the effort — reflects the G.O.P.’s determination to tighten its hold on power in the narrowly divided Senate. The outcome of the Florida race will decide whether the party controls as many as 53 seats and has a freer hand to confirm Republican-backed judges with the vote of the man at the center of the recount, Gov. Rick Scott, who is trying to oust a three-term Democrat, Bill Nelson.”

Filed Under: Election Administration, Political Strategy

Trump Will Oust Nielsen at Homeland Security

November 12, 2018 at 10:46 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump has decided to remove Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen, and her departure from the administration is likely to occur in the coming weeks, if not sooner,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump canceled a planned trip with Nielsen this week to visit U.S. troops at the border in South Texas and told aides over the weekend he wants her out as soon as possible. The president has grumbled for months about what he views as Nielsen’s lackluster performance on immigration enforcement and is believed to be looking for a replacement who will implement his policy ideas with more alacrity.”

Filed Under: White House

Pelosi Moves to Lock Down Votes for Speaker

November 12, 2018 at 8:41 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi “is moving aggressively to snuff out a challenge from some lawmakers who are demanding new party leadership, while powerful allies outside Congress are helping rally support for her bid for speaker,” the Washington Post reports

“Pelosi has yet to clinch the necessary votes and is leaving nothing to chance, according to members and aides familiar with her approach. She is encouraging outside groups to speak up on her behalf while personally talking to the Democrats who will choose the next speaker on Jan. 3.”

Filed Under: House of Representatives Tagged With: Nancy Pelosi

McSally Concedes Arizona Senate Race

November 12, 2018 at 8:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Martha McSally (R), who was locked in a too-close-to-call race with Kyrsten Sinema (D), called her opponent and conceded Monday after Sinema’s lead widened, the Arizona Republic reports.

“The concession marked the end of a heated neck-and-neck battle between McSally and Sinema over who would fill the seat Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) decided not to defend.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: AZ-Sen

Tape May Link Khashoggi Killing to Crown Prince

November 12, 2018 at 7:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Shortly after the journalist Jamal Khashoggi was killed last month at the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, a member of the kill team instructed a superior over the phone to ‘tell your boss,’ believed to be Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, that the operatives had carried out their mission,” the New York Times reports.

“The recording, shared last month with the C.I.A. director, Gina Haspel, is seen by intelligence officials as some of the strongest evidence linking Prince Mohammed to the killing of Mr. Khashoggi, a Virginia resident and Washington Post columnist whose death prompted an international outcry.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Saudi Arabia

Mueller’s Prosecutors Working on a Holiday

November 12, 2018 at 6:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Although it was a federal holiday today, CNN reports that at least eight prosecutors working for special counsel Robert Mueller were in the office today.

Law and Crime: “So while federal courts may be closed and there’s ‘no reason to believe; a grand jury is meeting, it’s still within the realm of possibility that Michael Cohen in D.C. + numerous Mueller prosecutors work = the precursor to something bigger.”

For members: More Mueller Indictments Coming?

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Robert Mueller

Trump’s Hard Move Towards Authoritarianism

November 12, 2018 at 5:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

When President Trump demanded a halt to the recount in Florida this morning, he crossed a dangerous line for our democracy. He accused Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) — with no evidence whatsoever — of committing fraud in an attempt to steal the election.

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Filed Under: Members, White House

Jerome Corsi Expects to Be Indicted

November 12, 2018 at 5:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jerome Corsi, a conspiracy theorist linked to Roger Stone and who was subpoenaed to testify in Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation, told ABC News that he’s expecting an indictment from the special counsel soon.

Said Corsi: “I don’t know what they’re going to charge me with… I think my only crime was that I support Donald Trump. That’s my crime, and now I’m going to go to prison for the rest of my life for cooperating with them.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Jerome Corsi

Georgia Officials Ordered to Count All Absentee Votes

November 12, 2018 at 5:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Georgia Secretary of State Robyn Crittenden told county election officials to count absentee ballots even if they lack a voter’s date of birth, as long as the voter’s identity can be verified, the Atlanta Journal Constitution reports.

Brian Kemp (R) holds the lead over Stacey Abrams (D) in the race to become Georgia’s governor. Abrams would need to gain more than 20,000 votes to force the race into a runoff.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: GA-Gov

Will Tom Vilsack Run Against Joni Ernst?

November 12, 2018 at 3:58 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Iowa Starting Line reports on speculation that former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack (D) may challenge Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) in 2020.

“Vilsack remains one of the most popular figures in Iowa politics, with extremely high ratings among Democrats based on polling from this past cycle. He won 49 Iowa counties in his first race in 1998 and 68 of them in 2002. Democrats long for the days where they could actually be competitive again in rural Iowa, and the former Secretary of Agriculture for Barack Obama might be the perfect person to do just that.”

“Vilsack would start with a great national fundraising network. A run by him would probably clear the field of any of the more traditional Democratic contenders, but that doesn’t mean he’d be totally unopposed. A proven winner, his run would turn Iowa into one of Democrats’ top pick-up targets in the country.”

Filed Under: 2020 Campaign Tagged With: IA-Sen

A Dangerous New Phase of the Voting Wars

November 12, 2018 at 3:37 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rick Hasen: “With Florida set this week to undertake a massive and massively politicized recount in the critical races for governor and senator, the way that election fight has played out so far has been an absolute nightmare. Perhaps most terrifyingly of all, the 2018 Florida elections have demonstrated the real possibility that President Donald Trump might attempt to ignore an unfavorable 2020 election outcome if the result is a slim loss by the president, a possibility that should give us all chills.”

“There’s no mincing words: We are entering into a dangerous new phase in the voting wars. Last week, various election calamities were fueled by incendiary and unsupported claims by Trump and others of fraud, by pockets of incompetence of election administration, by partisanship in election administration, and by continued fundamental defects in how our elections are conducted.”

Filed Under: Election Administration

Michael Cohen Mysteriously Arrives In Washington, D.C.

November 12, 2018 at 2:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Michael Cohen, President Trump’s former personal attorney and close associate, arrived in Washington, D.C., Monday morning, accompanied by one of his own criminal defense lawyers,” ABC News reports.

Filed Under: White House

More Mueller Indictments Coming?

November 12, 2018 at 2:33 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Consider the following:

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Filed Under: Members, White House Tagged With: Robert Mueller

Ranked-Choice Voting Gets Test In Maine

November 12, 2018 at 1:59 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “The four-way political battle won’t conclude until a computer algorithm has the final say this week on whether Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin wins re-election or is ousted by Democratic state lawmaker Jared Golden.”

“Under the system, a candidate wins with a majority of first-place votes. If there’s no majority, the last-place candidate’s second-place votes are reallocated to remaining candidates. The computerized process can be repeated until there’s a winner. Across the country, voting reform advocates are watching as the system faces its biggest test in the most expensive race in Maine history.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Election Administration

Will the Florida Recounts Change Anything?

November 12, 2018 at 1:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tampa Bay Times: “According to an analysis by the nonpartisan group FairVote, which advocates for electoral reforms that make it easier to vote, out of 4,687 statewide general elections between 2000 and 2016, just 26 went to a recount.”

“Of those 26, just three recounts wound up changing the initial result of the race: The 2004 Washington governor’s race, the 2006 Vermont state auditor’s race and the 2008 Minnesota U.S. Senate race. The average swing in those three elections after the recounts? About 311 votes. … Essentially, Nelson — and to a greater extent, Gillum — would need a systematic error to be discovered during their recounts if their results are to be reversed.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Gov, FL-Sen

Florida Judge Sees No Evidence of Voter Fraud

November 12, 2018 at 1:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Florida judge said he’s seen no evidence of wrongdoing in the vote-counting in Broward County and urged all sides to “ramp down the rhetoric,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Election Administration Tagged With: FL-Sen

House Democrats Outline First Piece of Legislation

November 12, 2018 at 1:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats will take control of the U.S. House in January with big items topping their legislative to-do list: Remove obstacles to voting, close loopholes in government ethics law and reduce the influence of political money,” NPR reports.

“Party leaders say the first legislative vote in the House will come on H.R. 1, a magnum opus of provisions that Democrats believe will strengthen U.S. democratic institutions and traditions.”

Filed Under: Election Administration, House of Representatives

Trump Skips Arlington National Cemetery Visit

November 12, 2018 at 12:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“At 10:03 a.m. on Monday, the White House called a travel lid, meaning President Trump is not expected to hold any public events for the remainder of the day,” Mic reports.

“That also means that Trump won’t visit Arlington National Cemetery on Monday, as the country observes Veterans Day — an unofficial presidential tradition.”

Filed Under: White House

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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