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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Corruption Is Now the Top Voter Issue

October 23, 2026 · 6:23 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Voters are now more concerned about government corruption than any other issue, including high grocery and gas prices, according to the final CNBC All-America Economic Survey before the Nov. 3 midterm election.”

“The finding follows a monthslong messaging effort by Democrats to link widespread economic dissatisfaction with what they allege is rampant corruption by President Donald Trump and his Republican allies.”

“CNBC’s survey of 1,000 registered U.S. voters found 36% of respondents pointing to government corruption as one of the most important issues facing the country right now. The cost of food and groceries came second with 34%, followed by protecting democracy and the price of gas, which garnered 23% each.”

Earlier for members: It’s the Corruption Too, Stupid

2026 Campaign, Corruption

Trump Turns the GOP’s Ad Headache Into a Migraine

October 23, 2026 · 5:46 am ET · Leave a Comment

Aaron Blake: “President Donald Trump has been undermining his own party for months, continuously causing more headaches for Republicans even long after most presidents would’ve taken the Election Day cue to rein themselves in.”

“So why would that stop on the eve of those elections?”

“Trump’s latest move is trying to bully Republicans into embracing a highly controversial political ad that seeks to weaponize a situation involving alleged child sexual abuse. The ad has clearly rubbed many GOP officeholders the wrong way, from both a moral and a political perspective.”

Republicans, White House

Buttigieg Endorses Independent in Montana Senate Race

October 23, 2026 · 5:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Pete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary and popular Democratic Party surrogate who has confirmed considering a 2028 presidential bid, is endorsing independent Montana U.S. Senate candidate Seth Bodnar,” ABC News reports.

2026 Campaign, Senate, Third Parties

Ilhan Omar Raised $1.9 Million in Two Weeks

October 23, 2026 · 5:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Rep. Ilhan Omar raised nearly $1.9 million for her reelection campaign in the first two weeks of October, a haul that coincided with a federal raid on her Washington, D.C., home and her efforts to capitalize on what she called an ‘authoritarian attack,'” the Washington Sun reports.

CBS News: Omar says she can’t keep living in home federal agents searched.

2026 Campaign, Campaign Finance

Where Democrats Think GOP Gerrymandering Will Backfire

October 23, 2026 · 5:32 am ET · Leave a Comment

“House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Texas this weekend as Democrats become increasingly confident that GOP-led gerrymandering could backfire in both the Lone Star State and in Florida,” Semafor reports.

“Shifts among Latino voters, who represent sizable portions of the electorate in both states, and Trump’s sagging approval rating appear to be driving Democrats’ strength in redder areas.”

2026 Campaign, Redistricting

Trump’s Battle with the Media Ramps Up

October 23, 2026 · 5:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

“As President Donald Trump barnstorms the country ahead of the midterms, on top of his usual White House events this week, he’s had some pointed exchanges with journalists in his path. He called one reporter a ‘dummy,’ another ‘a stupid person’ and a third ‘a sick person,'” the Washington Sun reports.

“The angry name-calling comes as tensions between the White House and the media have ratcheted up.”

NPR: Trump’s attacks on the press have become a war.

Media Buzz, White House

Most Voters Believe the Midterm Elections Will Be Accurate

October 23, 2026 · 5:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “With less than two weeks until the midterms, a wide majority of voters say that they largely trust that the results of the upcoming election will be accurate, according to a new New York Times/Siena poll.”

”But the poll finds that many harbor concerns that Republicans could try to overturn the results of the election.”

2022 Campaign, Polling

Democrats Aim to Build Momentum with Epstein Ad Blitz

October 23, 2026 · 5:26 am ET · Leave a Comment

“As the limits of where Democrats hope to win in 2026 creep further into reliably red territory, party operatives have been turning more often to a wedge issue that helped Donald Trump win in 2024 — disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein,” the Washington Sun reports.

“In Kansas, a state that Trump won by more than more than 16 points that is now considered a genuine pick-up opportunity for Democrats, one advertisement slams Republican Sen. Roger Marshall for his September 2025 vote to block the Epstein files release.”

2026 Campaign

Trump’s Iran Sanctions Run Into Limits

October 23, 2026 · 5:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is steadily ratcheting up pressure on Iran with sanctions, but experts and former officials say the penalties thus far are having a limited effect on the Islamic Republic’s willingness to negotiate,” Semafor reports.

Foreign Affairs, White House

Video Shows Mayor Charging at Resident

October 22, 2026 · 10:11 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“A township council meeting Wednesday night erupted into chaos when Pemberton Township, NJ Mayor Matthew Bianchini (R) charged toward a resident during what has been described as long-simmering tensions boiling over,” WPVI reports.

“The mayor was restrained by others in attendance before being removed from the room.”

Said Bianchini: “I just basically snapped. I hate to put it this way, but it’s a long time coming.”

City Hall

Iran Threatens Wider Strikes if U.S. Attacks

October 22, 2026 · 9:43 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Iran’s message is stark: If the U.S. and Israel restart their air campaign, Tehran will respond with strikes not only on American bases and warships but on airports, pipelines and other civilian targets in the neighboring countries of the Persian Gulf,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The warnings, issued publicly and in private diplomatic communications, are clearly aimed at deterring any attack with tough talk. But they also signal a real threat. Iran retains significant missile and drone stocks and the ability to use them.”

“Analysts estimate Iran has hundreds to thousands of ballistic missiles, and U.S. and regional officials believe it has resumed production of ballistic missiles in limited numbers using stockpiled components and working in underground facilities.”

Foreign Affairs, National Security

Trump Calls LeBron James a ‘Total Disgrace’

October 22, 2026 · 8:40 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump attacked Philadelphia 76ers forward LeBron James on Thursday over a video appearing to show the NBA star stretching during the national anthem ahead of his Sixers debut against the New York Knicks on Tuesday,” ABC News reports.

Said Trump: “While listening to our National Anthem, LeBron James disrespects our Country!”

He added: “I said right from the beginning that he’s no good, a TOTAL DISGRACE. LeBron James should apologize to all of those Great American Warriors and Heroes who died for the American Flag, and all that our Country stands for!”

Celebrities, Culture Wars, White House

Darline Graham Silent During Air Force One Ride

October 22, 2026 · 8:22 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. Darline Graham (R-SC) did not raise her objections to President Donald Trump waiving bipartisan Russia sanctions named after her late brother during a campaign visit from Trump to support her election and a subsequent ride with him to Washington on Air Force One,” the Washington Examiner reports.

Foreign Affairs, Senate

Elon Musk Pours Another $76 Million to Boost GOP

October 22, 2026 · 8:03 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Elon Musk gave another $76 million to boost Republicans in the first two weeks of October, bringing his total giving this cycle to more than $442 million,” Politico reports.

2026 Campaign

Iowa Is in Play as Economic Woes Mount

October 22, 2026 · 7:19 pm ET · Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The country’s economic crosscurrents are cascading across Iowa. High gas prices, elevated interest rates and Mr. Trump’s unpredictable economic policies, including tariffs, have been battering rural America over the last year. Iowa’s economy contracted in 2025 and notched the weakest annual growth rate in the country, according to the federal Bureau of Economic Analysis.”

“Polls suggest that the state that helped propel Mr. Trump’s political rise could flip in favor of Democrats when voters cast their ballots next month.”

2026 Campaign, Economy

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