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Archives for May 2017

Health Care Bill Could Put House In Play

May 6, 2017 at 10:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “It is far too early to determine whether 2018 will bring a political wave, but the House’s approval of a deeply unpopular health care bill on Thursday has handed Democrats a potent line of attack for the midterm elections. While Republicans believe that fulfilling a seven-year promise on health care will energize their base next year, Democrats are anticipating a backlash that may put in jeopardy a Republican House majority that once seemed unshakable.”

“Democrats are recruiting challengers aggressively, even in conservative-leaning districts, importuning an eclectic group of could-be candidates that includes a Minnesota gelato baron, a former candidate for governor of Kansas and the mayor of Syracuse.”

Said DCCC chairman Ben Ray Luján (D-NM): “No district is off the table.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Health Care

House Republicans Go Off a Cliff

May 6, 2017 at 10:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ross Douthat: “As written, the A.H.C.A. basically takes Trump’s gift to the party and hurls it off the highest possible cliff. It is not just the scale of the likely insurance losses, or how much the rich benefit from repeal relative to everybody else. It’s also the gulf between that reality and what Trump and various Republican leaders explicitly promised — insisting that their plan would deliver better coverage, lower premiums, and a lot of other things that have since taken a back seat to making room in the budget for more tax cuts.”

“When President Obama said — lyingly – that ‘if you like your plan, you can keep your plan,’ his party ultimately paid for it. A reasonably competent Democratic Party, with something like the A.H.C.A. to run against, should be able to make Republicans pay dearly in their turn.”

“Indeed, the A.H.C.A. should make the Democrats’ various internal dilemmas easier to resolve.”

Filed Under: Health Care

The Low Information President

May 6, 2017 at 6:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

It’s now apparent to nearly everyone that President Trump doesn’t understand much about public policy. His grasp of the GOP health care bill — his top legislative priority — was exceptionally bad.

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Filed Under: Members, White House

Bonus Quote of the Day

May 6, 2017 at 11:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Nobody dies because they don’t have access to health care.”

— Rep. Raul Labrador (R-ID), quoted by the Idaho Statesman, during a town hall meeting defending his vote on the GOP health care bill.

Filed Under: Health Care Tagged With: Raul Labrador

The Conservative Case for Obamacare

May 6, 2017 at 11:18 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Andrew Sullivan: “You might think Obamacare would violate my generally conservative principles, but it didn’t. In fact, it seemed to me to be an effective marriage of conservative principles and, well, human decency. The decency part comes from not blaming or punishing the sick for their condition. The conservative part comes from the incremental nature of the reform, and its reliance on the private sector to provide a public good. For good measure, it actually saved the government money, and it slowed soaring health-care costs.”

“The exchanges, with predictable early hiccups, largely worked — a case study in the benefits of market competition. The law allowed for experiments to test how efficient health care could be. It even insisted on personal responsibility by mandating individual coverage. And the concept of insurance is not socialism; it’s a matter simply of pooling risk as widely as possible. If any European conservative party were to propose such a system, it would be pilloried as a far-right plot. And yet the Republican Party opposed it with a passion that became very hard for me to disentangle from hatred of Obama himself.”

Filed Under: Health Care

GOP Nervous About Future of Health Care Bill

May 6, 2017 at 10:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A top Republican emails Mike Allen: “I think the reality of the Senate process is setting in.”

“The legislation is likely to take a month or two to wend through the Senate. And Republicans are queasy about getting the likely result back through the House, then to President Trump’s desk.”

Playbook: “We’ve been talking to top House Republicans about the politics of this plan. Put plainly, there is a lot of concern. The politics around the AHCA are very tricky for the GOP. Many very senior Republicans were extremely unhappy with the celebration in the Rose Garden. The optics, they say, were horrendous. Of course, Republicans say they’ll be able to sell this plan to their constituents. They have promised their base that they would repeal Obamacare, and this makes good on that promise, they say. Midterms are base elections, and this could energize core GOP voters.”

For members: How Republicans Can Make Their Health Care Bill a Law

Filed Under: Health Care

13 Men Tackle Health Care In the Senate

May 6, 2017 at 10:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

After Reuters published this photo of President Trump celebrating passage of the GOP health care in the House, CNN notes that 13 white men — and no women — are responsible for putting together a plan in the Senate.

Noted anchor Erin Burnett: “There are big medical differences between men and women.”

Filed Under: Health Care

Democrats Tackle a Rebuild

May 6, 2017 at 10:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The DNC headquarters remains mostly empty, devoid of almost any senior staff. It has a new chairman, Tom Perez, but there’s still no executive director. There’s a completely new organizational chart, but the gutted political, finance, and tech offices remain in search of new leaders. In other words, the DNC is showing signs of life after a long period of dormancy, but progress is slow. And it’s about to get more painful as Democrats prepare to embark on a delicate round of group therapy sessions — otherwise known as unity commission meetings — that could reopen intraparty wounds from the Bernie Sanders-Hillary Clinton presidential primary fight.”

“In private conversations with fellow Democrats, new Chairman Tom Perez describes the precarious situation as trying to repair a plane that’s already in the air. The committee had been largely neglected by party leadership in the final years of Barack Obama’s presidency.”

Filed Under: Democrats

Obamacare Repeal Vote Upends 2018 Landscape

May 6, 2017 at 10:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“This week’s vote to replace Obamacare has scrambled the 2018 House landscape, jeopardizing Republican lawmakers across the country and potentially endangering the party’s longstanding grip on the chamber,” Politico reports.

“More than a dozen senior Republican strategists, lawmakers, and potential candidates expressed varying degrees of concern over the political implications of the health care push. Some predicted that House members would face a fierce backlash from voters, while others said the party had erred badly in rushing through a bill that lacked broad public support.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign, Health Care

Quote of the Day

May 6, 2017 at 7:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Let’s get this fucking thing done!”

— Rep. Martha McSally (R-AZ), quoted by the AP, in a House GOP conference meeting before the health care vote.

Filed Under: Health Care Tagged With: Martha McSally

Republicans Now Own Health Care

May 6, 2017 at 7:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “The House Republican vote Thursday to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act means the GOP now has to answer for every problem with the health care law: the premium increases due to materialize this summer, more insurers leaving the markets, and regions where no one is willing to sell coverage at all anymore.”

“Democrats — who were blamed for every problem in the health industry, from rising premiums to overbooked doctor’s offices to long emergency room waits — couldn’t be more excited to give it to them.”

Filed Under: Health Care

Georgia Special Election Breaks Spending Records

May 6, 2017 at 7:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It’s official: Georgia’s special election will be the most expensive House race in U.S. history,” Politico reports.

“Candidates and outside groups have aired or reserved more than $29.7 million worth of TV ads in the race to replace HHS Secretary Tom Price in Congress, which will break a five-year-old record for House spending — highlighting the outsized importance a sliver of the Atlanta suburbs has taken on in national politics.”

Filed Under: 2017 Campaign, Campaign Finance Tagged With: GA-6

Clinton Book May Soon Become TV Series

May 6, 2017 at 7:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Shattered, by the journalists Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes, has been optioned by TriStar Television, a division of Sony Pictures Television, and Davis Entertainment for a limited series, the New York Times reports.

“Among the first post-mortems of the election, Shattered has been a mainstay in dinner-party chatter in political circles since its publication. The continued interest in the election has brought talk of other book-to-TV series as well. The political journalists and analysts Mark Halperin and John Heilemann are currently working on a book about the 2016 election that has also been acquired for a mini-series by HBO.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Political Books

Another Weekend Getaway for Trump

May 6, 2017 at 6:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Forget the occasional skeet shooting trip to Camp David or golf outing at Andrews Air Force Base. President Trump has established a new normal for a commander in chief’s leisure time by spending his 14th consecutive weekend at one of his gold-plated properties,” Politico reports.

Filed Under: White House

Handel Holds Small Lead In Georgia’s 6th

May 5, 2017 at 6:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Landmark Communications poll in Georgia’s 6th congressional district shows Karen Handel (R) just edging Jon Ossoff (D), 49% to 47%.

Filed Under: 2017 Campaign Tagged With: GA-6

Montana Candidate Caught on Tape Praising Health Bill

May 5, 2017 at 6:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When Greg Gianforte (R), the Republican running for an open House seat in Montana, was asked on Thursday whether he would have supported the bill repealing the Affordable Care Act that passed the House that day, he declined to answer,” the New York Times reports.

But on the same day, during a private conference call with Republican-leaning lobbyists in Washington, Gianforte offered a more supportive view of the health bill: “The votes in the House are going to determine whether we get tax reform done, sounds like we just passed a health care thing, which I’m thankful for, sounds like we’re starting to repeal and replace.”

Filed Under: 2017 Campaign, Health Care Tagged With: Greg Gianforte, MT-AL

Macron Emails Appear to be Leaked Online

May 5, 2017 at 6:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A large trove of emails from the campaign of French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron was posted online late on Friday, one and a half days before voters go to the polls to choose the country’s next president in a run-off against far-right rival Marine Le Pen,” Reuters reports.

BBC: “The campaign said that genuine files were mixed up with fake ones in order to confuse people. It said that it was clear the hackers wanted to undermine Mr Macron ahead of Sunday’s second round vote.”

Filed Under: Foreign Elections

Flynn Was Warned by Transition Officials

May 5, 2017 at 6:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former national security adviser Michael Flynn “was warned by senior members of then President-elect Donald Trump’s transition team about the risks of his contacts with the Russian ambassador weeks before the December call that led to Flynn’s forced resignation,” the Washington Post reports.

“Officials were so concerned that Flynn did not fully understand the motives of the Russian ambassador that the head of Trump’s national security council transition team asked Obama administration officials for a classified CIA profile of Kislyak… The document was delivered within days, officials said, but it is not clear that Flynn ever read it.”

“The previously undisclosed sequence reveals the extent to which even some Trump insiders were troubled by the still-forming administration’s entanglements with Russia and enthusiasm for a friendly relationship with the Kremlin.”

Filed Under: Trump Transition, White House Tagged With: Michael Flynn

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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